The U.S. wearables market (i.e. smart watches, fitness trackers) has struggled to reach the mainstream, with less than 20% of adults expected to use wearable tech at least once/mo. in 2018. eMarketer projects wearable use will increase 11.9% YOY over the coming 12 months, but that growth percentage is down from 15.2% YOY in 2017 (and expected to slow to 7.7% in 2019). Smart watch sales will drive the increased usage, accounting for 55% of all wearables by 2022 (up from 21% in ’16). Not everyone is convinced wearables have reached peak growth though, IDC anticipates the number of devices shipped will double by 2021 (accounting for higher adoption rates in China) and CCS Insight anticipates wearables becoming a $34 billion industry by 2020.
Howie Long-Short: Under Armour (UAA) and Adidas (ADDYY) have both recently exited the wearable tech space. UAA announced in November it would no longer manufacture fitness trackers, instead building software to integrate with AAPL and Samsung (5930) products, while earlier this month ADDYY announced that it was closing its Digital Sports Division to re-shift its focus on app platforms. While those exits don’t bode well for IDC & CCS’ projections, the wearables market has one potentially game-changing card to play; if it can generate meaningful data reflecting the health benefits associated with usage, subsidized (i.e. insurance) cost programs (which would theoretically result in increased sales) could follow.
Fan Marino: Asics (ASCCF) also recently entered the fitness software space, introducing a mobile application that offers consumers on-demand workouts. Entitled Asics Studio, professional trainers guide users through workouts that are synced with pre-selected playlists to recreate the atmosphere of a boutique fitness class. Strength training, treadmill, fusion (strength and cardio package), outdoor running, elliptical and indoor cycling classes are all available for $9.99/mo. The latest company looking to cash in on the wearable data and analytics market, expected to be worth $838 million by 2022.
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